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Mapping Italy: scenario and political risks

The Draghi government has presented the Recovery Plan (NRRP), which has now reached the desks in Brussels. The plan has been modified and deepened compared to the versions that had circulated at the time of the Conte 2 government. The executive has focused more on the tools of bureaucratics implification and has directed resources towards public investments rather than towards welfare measures as emerged from the drafts of the previous government.

The Recovery Plan is an ambitiousand long-term program and the Draghi’s government can only set up the blue print for reforms. Indeed,reforms such as those of justice, public administration and digitalization will take years and therefore a timeline that will go well beyond this legislature. Not only politics, but also the public administration, the education system, and industry will be put to the test and the possible beneficial effects of the Recovery Plan will only be seen in a few years.

But precisely because the NRRP is a program much ofits success will depend on the next steps rather than on the drafting phase. In other words, this plan must be translated into law decrees, legislative decrees, laws, regulations and then the organisation ofoffices, tenders, and public works. All this complex apparatus is not seen today, but it will have to bedeployed in coming months. A process that is complicated by the precarious balance between the parties.